Companies that ranked in the top 20 percent or so in spending on training and development would have earned an average of 16.2 percent, annualized, in the five years through 2001, or 6.5 percentage points a year more than the Wilshire 5000 index. Better yet, that market-beating performance was produced with about 10 percent less risk, as measured by the volatility of returns. Currently, that list of companies includes Accenture, Agilent Technologies (news/quote), Allstate (news/quote), Capital One Financial (news/quote), Corning (news/quote), FedEx (news/quote), First Consulting Group (news/quote), I.B.M. (news/quote), Intel (news/quote), NCR and Storage Technology (news/quote). Over those same five years, companies at the bottom of the training-expense rankings had significantly lower returns. And the researchers obviously couldn't include companies that did not report training expenses and presumably performed even worse. Skeptics might worry about the objectivity of the results, given that the American Society for Training and Development is dedicated to encouraging companies to spend more on employee education. But the researchers focused only the performance of these companies after they had been identified by the society, so hindsight bias is not likely to be an issue. Two standard caveats apply to the research. Because the data go back only five years, it is too early to predict confidently that the pattern, though crystal clear so far, will persist in coming years. Second, knowledge of a strategy's profit potential can kill it, as more and more investors try to exploit it. But I am not particularly worried about that effect in this case, because Wall Street puts intense pressure on companies to increase current earnings by cutting expenses like those for employee training. Such expenses also carry indirect short-term costs, like reduced productivity while employees are being trained. As a result, companies that resist short-term pressure and spend heavily on training are likely to remain few. The new research, however, suggests that investors will be rewarded for betting on them.
Copyright 2002 The New York Times Company
|
|